In group 4 Real Murcia assured our (first) place that gives you two shots at promotion 10 days ago. The time between reaching this target and actually playing the important games is a worry. Time to be distracted, time for injuries, time to relax, time for 3 worthless games. Of the other qualified group champions for the first round of play- offs, only Sabadell from group 3 have secured this place so far, and have a similar situation in that they also made sure 10 days ago – since which they have lost 2 games. In group 1 Lugo, who were 7 or 8 points ahead, can't win for toffee, and have only a 2 point lead over Guadalajara and Real Madrid B with one game to go. However they need to win to be sure of top spot, and have a home game against an already relegated side. I’m hoping Lugo win – Guadalajara are the form side, are on a winning streak and are scoring for fun – and if Lugo draw and Guadalajara win, Lugo lose out. Real Madrid B will have the favour of the referees (the RFEF must be wishing for a “mini-clasico” in segunda). In Group 2 Mirandes are 1 point ahead of Eibar, and also have a home game in order to secure top spot. Eibar wouldn’t be great, it’s an ugly trip, and they are famous for boring grinding defensive football, and will be as hard as hell to break down.
So….my order of preference….
4. Real Madrid B
One thing I do know.....all 6 possible rivals would have Real Murcia bottom of their list, everyone wants to avoid us.